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College Football Roundup

Halloween Saturday Is Loaded: Miami and Ohio State Go on the Road, Georgia and Florida Take Over Atlanta

Ten ranked teams have lost in the last three weeks, only three teams are still undefeated, and the first College Football Playoff rankings arrive Tuesday. October 31 stacks a freshman quarterback’s first start at the Coliseum, No. 1 Miami’s trip to a place it has not won since 2017, a Cocktail Party moved to Atlanta, and a ranked Big 12 showdown in Lubbock.

The Short Version

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This is the Saturday the season has been building toward, and nobody ranked can feel safe on it. The Associated Press, in its Week 9 preview carried by TSN, counts ten Top 25 teams beaten over the last three weeks — including two No. 1s and a No. 2 that lost to unranked opponents — and 128 conference games decided by eight or fewer points, the most through Week 8 since at least 1973. NCAA.com notes that only three undefeated teams are left in the country: No. 1 Miami (Fla.), No. 6 Utah and No. 7 UCLA. By midnight, that list can shrink again, because the top of the sport is spending Halloween on the road.

Hovering over all of it is Tuesday night, when the first College Football Playoff rankings of the year are released. NCAA.com points out that the first CFP rankings tend to correlate with the final ones, which means today is not just another Saturday — it is the last full audition before the committee starts writing names down in ink. A scare counts. A loss, in this season, counts double.

No. 1 Miami walks into its weirdest road test

Miami is 7–0 overall and 5–0 in the ACC, ranked No. 1, and averaging 49.0 points per game while allowing 15.3, according to BVM Sports’ game preview. And yet the Hurricanes’ 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at North Carolina (ABC) comes with a genuinely strange piece of history attached: Athlon Sports reports that North Carolina has beaten Miami five consecutive times, a streak stretching back to 2019, that Miami has not beaten the Tar Heels since 2018, and that the Hurricanes have not won in Chapel Hill since 2017. North Carolina leads the all-time series 16–11.

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The case for the streak ending is the most efficient passing attack in the country. Quarterback Darian Mensah, the former Duke starter, has completed 81.4% of his passes for 2,151 yards with 22 touchdowns and a single interception, per Athlon Sports and BVM Sports. Against Pittsburgh on October 24 he went 31-of-37 for 387 yards and four touchdowns in a 52–23 win. His favourite target, Malachi Toney, caught a Miami single-game record 16 passes for 194 yards and three touchdowns in that game, and leads the FBS with 66 receptions for 952 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season. The case for the streak surviving is that Bill Belichick’s Tar Heels (4–3, 2–2 ACC) have not been blown out by anybody: all three of their losses have come by 11 points or fewer, including a 31–30 overtime loss to Syracuse, according to BVM Sports. A team that keeps every game close gets to spend the fourth quarter one bounce from a headline.

Miami Hurricanes in action against the USF Bulls at Raymond James Stadium in September 2024
Miami on the road. The Hurricanes at USF in September 2024 — a 50–15 Miami win. Tonight the No. 1 team plays at North Carolina, where it has not won since 2017. Photo: Trevorrrrvalent / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0).

Ohio State’s season now runs through a freshman

The nightcap is No. 2 Ohio State (6–1, 4–0 Big Ten) at USC (6–2, 3–2), 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock from the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum — and the Buckeyes will play it without their starting quarterback. The Columbus Dispatch reports that Julian Sayin suffered an undisclosed injury to his throwing arm in the fourth quarter of the 19–15 win at Indiana on October 17, when defensive lineman Mario Landino collided with him as he began a pass; Sayin left for the locker room and returned with his right arm in a sling. Head coach Ryan Day said on October 20, in comments reported by the Dispatch, that Ohio State is planning for Sayin to miss the rest of the regular season and the postseason, and that a return before the end of the regular season is doubtful.

So the job falls to true freshman Luke Fahey, a three-star recruit and the No. 35 quarterback in the 2026 class per 247Sports’ composite rankings, as reported by the Dispatch, with Tavien St. Clair also in the mix. NCAA.com notes that Fahey failed to complete a pass and took a sack in his limited relief time against Indiana. That is the whole résumé he carries into a sold-out Coliseum at night. What he carries with him, though, is the Heisman Trophy frontrunner: wide receiver Jeremiah Smith leads the market at +120 in FanDuel odds published by the Clarion Ledger, ahead of Mensah at +290. And Ohio State’s defense travels even when its quarterback does not — RG.org’s Week 9 analysis credits the Buckeyes with allowing 13.4 points and 264.3 yards per game, with opponents throwing just three touchdown passes against them all season. USA TODAY notes one more historical wrinkle: Ohio State has not beaten USC in the Coliseum since 1946, and Trojans coach Lincoln Riley has lost seven of his last eight games against ranked opponents. USC, coming off a 24–7 loss at Wisconsin, is close to elimination from playoff consideration; a win tonight is the one result that changes that sentence.

The Cocktail Party moved to Atlanta

The afternoon belongs to the rivalry that had to move house. No. 17 Florida (5–2, 3–2 SEC) meets No. 3 Georgia (6–1) at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Athlon Sports explains why: due to renovations at the Jaguars’ stadium in Jacksonville, the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is being played in Atlanta for the first time. The AP preview carried by TSN notes Georgia has won eight of the last ten meetings, including the last five, and lists Florida as a 12.5-point underdog. FanDuel’s research page puts Georgia’s profile plainly: the Bulldogs average 43.0 points per game and allow 15.9. Florida has been one of the SEC’s most unpredictable teams this season — which is either a warning or a compliment, depending on which version shows up in Atlanta.

Exterior of Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, December 2024
The new Cocktail Party house. Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta hosts Florida–Georgia this year while Jacksonville’s stadium is renovated. Photo: BullDawg2021 / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 4.0).

Lubbock gets the day’s other ranked showdown

There are only two ranked-vs.-ranked games on the entire slate, per the AP preview, and the other one kicks off at noon ET on ESPN: No. 22 Arizona (6–1, 3–1 Big 12) at No. 13 Texas Tech (6–1, 3–1), at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock, per FOX Sports. Arizona arrives on a five-game winning streak behind Noah Fifita, who has thrown for 2,064 yards at 294.9 per game with an 18-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a Big 12-best 74.2% completion rate, per DraftKings Network’s props breakdown. The collision is obvious: FOX Sports notes Texas Tech’s defense has intercepted 13 passes and returned five of them for touchdowns. The winner takes the inside track to the Big 12 championship game, per the AP. Elsewhere in the early window, No. 25 Wisconsin (5–2) visits Iowa (5–2) in its first week back in the Top 25 since September 2023, and No. 20 Northwestern (6–1) makes what the AP calls a potentially dangerous trip to Oregon (4–3).

The SEC has no safe seats

NCAA.com flags the day’s most quietly absurd stat: the SEC is the only conference in the FBS with zero teams undefeated in conference play. The chaos continues at 12:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network, where Auburn (4–3) visits No. 12 Ole Miss (5–2). The AP notes Ole Miss’s playoff path sits on a knife edge at two losses, against an Auburn team that already owns a win over a top-three opponent this season. Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, an early-season Heisman frontrunner, has slid to +3000 in the Clarion Ledger’s published FanDuel odds after going 25-for-52 with two touchdowns and three interceptions in the October 24 loss at Texas; through seven games he has 1,926 passing yards, 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions, per the Clarion Ledger. In Fayetteville, No. 23 Missouri (5–2) visits Arkansas (3–4) with standout running back Ahmad Hardy expected back for the Tigers, per the AP.

Thursday already started the chaos

If anyone thought Halloween weekend would ease in, Thursday night corrected them. Troy rallied from 14 points down to beat James Madison 24–21 in overtime at Bridgeforth Stadium, on Hayden Wolfe’s 27-yard field goal, according to Troy athletics and the Associated Press. James Madison (7–2) led 21–7 at halftime and never scored again; Troy’s defense forced five turnovers, including three interceptions by Justin Powe to tie a school record, and ended the Dukes’ 11-game home winning streak. James Madison athletics confirms it was the Dukes’ second straight overtime loss. In Denton, the AP reports North Texas outlasted Florida Atlantic 48–41 in the first FBS game this season with two 400-yard passers: Tayven Jackson threw for 404 yards and four touchdowns for the Mean Green (6–2, 4–0 American), Jahiem White ran for 193 yards and two scores, and Florida Atlantic’s Caden Veltkamp answered with 452 yards and five touchdowns, with Easton Messer catching a school-record 16 passes for 189 yards and three scores. The teams combined for 1,167 yards.

Previously Staff’s read: Ranked teams have been falling for three straight weeks, the committee starts ranking on Tuesday, and the three biggest names on today’s board are all playing somewhere that is not home. Miami has the best quarterback-receiver pair in the country and a five-game losing streak against tonight’s opponent. Ohio State has the Heisman frontrunner and a freshman who has never completed a college pass of consequence, starting in the Coliseum. Georgia has the deeper roster and a rival that treats unpredictability as an identity. Somebody’s season changes shape tonight — the only real question this Halloween is whose.

More college football and every sport, all day: Sports front · Stats Hub · The Ticket

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